AA vs TT Odds: Aces vs Pocket Tens

AA Wins

80.3%

TT Wins

18.1%

Tie

1.6%

What are AA vs TT preflop odds?

Pocket Aces (AA) win 80.3% of the time against Pocket Tens (TT) preflop. TT wins 18.1% and ties account for a notable 1.6% — higher than most matchups because AA vs TT creates board-play scenarios where community cards form straights or flushes that neither hand can claim exclusively. This is a domination matchup: AA holds two cards that rank above TT's pair, leaving TT with only set outs (two remaining tens) as its primary winning line.

Can TT ever win against AA?

Yes, 18.1% of the time. TT's primary winning mechanism is flopping a set: with 2 outs (the two remaining tens in a 48-card deck after both hands are dealt), TT flops a set approximately 11.8% of the time. When TT flops a set, it becomes roughly an 88.6% favourite over AA. The remaining equity comes from TT backdooring a straight (Broadway boards like J-Q-K give TT an open-ended straight draw to A-K-Q-J-T) or board-play runouts where the community cards form the best hand using board cards alone.

Should I slowplay AA against TT?

Often not — and certainly not if your opponent is in set-mining mode. TT in position will call a raise with the primary goal of flopping a ten. By building the pot preflop, you maximise AA's 80.3% equity edge. If you slowplay and TT flops a set (11.8% of the time), you now have a catastrophic spot where AA is an 11.4% underdog. Extracting maximum value preflop is generally superior because it capitalises on the highest-equity moment for AA — before any community cards can equalise the matchup.

How does AA vs TT compare to AA vs KK and AA vs QQ?

AA vs KK is the most lopsided premium pair matchup: AA wins approximately 82.4% vs KK, as KK shares a king with AK range assumptions. AA vs QQ: AA wins roughly 80.3% — identical to AA vs TT because QQ and TT are both dominated pairs with no cards overlapping aces, giving both the same structural equity against AA. AA vs JJ: approximately 79.7%. The pattern shows that pairs below KK cluster tightly between 79–81% underdogs to aces, because they all have only their two set outs as primary winning lines.

What should TT do when facing a 4-bet?

In most situations, folding TT to a 4-bet is the correct tournament play. A 4-bet range from solid opponents is heavily weighted toward AA and KK — both of which have TT in an 80-82% underdog situation. Even if the 4-bettor occasionally has QQ or JJ (where TT is roughly even), the overall EV of calling a 4-bet with TT is negative when ICM pressure is factored in. In cash games with deep stacks, calling a 4-bet can be justified as a set-mining play if the price is right and your read suggests a bluffed 4-bet is possible. Shoving over a 4-bet with TT is essentially spewing chips.

What is the set-over-set scenario in AA vs TT?

When both players flop three-of-a-kind simultaneously — the A-T-x flop in AA vs TT. On this board, AA has top set (three aces) and TT has middle set (three tens). AA wins 83.7% from this point — the only way TT wins is by making four tens (quads) or by the board running out a full house using TT's remaining ten plus a board pair, and that full house beating AA's boats. The A-T-x flop is the highest-drama scenario in this matchup — both players typically get maximum money in, and AA is still a heavy favourite despite the dramatic visual of set-over-set.

How do board textures affect AA vs TT equity post-flop?

Straight boards hurt AA the most. A J-Q-K flop gives TT a gutshot to the Broadway straight (A-K-Q-J-T) — TT wins roughly 25.9% from this spot vs AA's 74.1%. Connected low boards (5-6-7, 4-5-6) do not help TT significantly since they do not give TT straight draw equity. Random disconnected boards (2-7-J, 3-8-K without tens) keep TT near its baseline set-draw-only equity of 7–8% on blank runouts. Flush boards can help TT slightly if TT shares a suit with an ace — creating backdoor flush equity — but this is minor. Broadway-connected boards are TT's primary source of unexpected equity post-flop.